Rubio Meets Pope as Iran Weighs US War Proposal

Amidst this backdrop of destruction, Iran is poised to reply to mediators regarding the US proposal to end the war. Sources familiar with the negotiations describe a one-page document that would declare an end to hostilities while initiating a 30-day negotiation period. The proposed timeline aims to resolve sticking points including nuclear issues, frozen Iranian assets, and security in the Strait of Hormuz. While both sides are believed to be advancing toward an agreement, President Donald Trump has issued a stern warning, threatening to resume bombing if Tehran fails to reach a deal.

The nuclear component of the proposal suggests a moratorium on Iran’s uranium enrichment for over 10 years, a reduction from previous US offers of 20 years. Additionally, Iran would be required to ship its stockpile of highly enriched uranium out of the country, potentially to the US, and cease operations in underground facilities. Trump has explicitly stated these terms to PBS News, emphasizing the strict conditions for de-escalation.

Control of Critical Waterways

A central issue in the negotiations is the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global energy supplies. Iran has recently formalized its control over the waterway by launching the Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA). This new body issues a “Vessel Information Declaration” requiring transiting ships to provide extensive details, including crew nationalities and previous ports of call. The form comprises over 40 questions, marking a significant escalation from the pre-war era where no such information was required.

This move is seen as an attempt to normalize Iranian authority over the strait, which has become a defining leverage point in the conflict. The US has repeatedly demanded freedom of movement and the cessation of tolls for safe passage. Although a US operation to guide stranded ships was paused following positive feedback from mediators in Pakistan, the blockade of Iranian ports remains in effect. President Trump’s priority remains finding a diplomatic offramp to swiftly reopen the strait, balancing military pressure with negotiation.

The impact of the conflict extends beyond the Middle East. In Europe, airlines are facing a major shock due to rising jet fuel costs. French Transport Minister Philippe Tabarot announced that the government is preparing financial aid, including extended tax deadlines and cash flow support, to help airlines navigate these challenges. With warnings of potential fuel shortages this summer, European authorities are scrambling to prevent widespread aviation disruptions, illustrating the global economic ripple effects of the regional war.

Inside Iran, political dynamics are also shifting. President Masoud Pezeshkian reported a two-and-a-half-hour meeting with Mojtaba Khamenei, the country’s new supreme leader. This marks the first reported in-person meeting between a senior official and Khamenei, who has remained in public view since his inauguration in March following the death of his father. Pezeshkian described the meeting as fostering unity and trust within the leadership structure, signaling internal cohesion as the country faces external pressures.

Iran’s Strategic Pivot and Future Implications

The convergence of high-level diplomacy, infrastructure recovery, and strict maritime controls indicates Iran is maneuvering for a strategic exit while consolidating internal authority. The proposed 30-day window offers a critical timeframe for resolving entrenched nuclear and economic disputes. If the US proposal is accepted, the immediate lifting of the port blockade and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could stabilize global energy markets and ease the financial burden on European airlines. However, failure to reach an agreement risks escalating the conflict, further devastating Iranian infrastructure and deepening the humanitarian crisis. The success of these negotiations will likely determine the longevity of the current ceasefire and the future of regional security architecture.