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President Isaac Herzog has launched consultations to form Israel’s next government, challenging Prime Minister Netanyahu’s claims as Arab parties secure historic gains in the recent parliamentary election.
The President of Israel, Isaac Herzog, has officially accepted the certified results of last week’s parliamentary elections and initiated consultations with various party leaders to determine who will be tasked with forming the next government. This strategic move occurred on Wednesday and serves as a direct counter to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s ongoing efforts to discredit the vote. The election results marked a significant shift in Israeli politics, where Netanyahu and his allies lost their majority in the 120-member parliament. Simultaneously, Arab-led parties made historic gains, altering the traditional political landscape. The certified results were released following the October 27 vote, setting the stage for complex coalition negotiations.
In the wake of the election, the political atmosphere has become increasingly charged. Netanyahu and his supporters have repeatedly made unsubstantiated claims that Arab-led parties had “stolen” the election, suggesting possible foreign assistance in the process. However, Israel’s elections commission conducted a thorough investigation into all parties’ claims of fraud. The commission concluded that it found “no evidence of irregularities that compromised the integrity of the election or affected its results.” This official stance undermines the narrative pushed by Netanyahu’s camp, which has sought to cast doubt on the legitimacy of the outcome.
The October 27 vote resulted in a fragmented parliament. Neither Netanyahu’s coalition nor the bloc led by his chief rival, opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot, secured the 61 seats required to govern independently. Netanyahu’s coalition won 53 seats, while Eisenkot’s bloc secured 48. This narrow gap leaves open the possibility of an alliance between the two men or an alliance between Eisenkot and the Arab-led parties, specifically Ra’am and the Joint List. These Arab-led parties secured a record 19 seats combined, giving them significant leverage in the coalition-building process.
President Herzog concluded the first day of consultations with party leaders on Wednesday night, stating that talks would continue on Thursday. During these initial meetings, Herzog met with representatives from the Religious Zionism and Zehut factions, Shas, and Yisrael Beytenu. He received their recommendations regarding the identity of the Knesset member upon whom the task of forming the government should be assigned. Three factions aligned with Netanyahu’s religious-nationalist base recommended that the prime minister be given a chance to form a coalition. In contrast, a fourth faction, led by a former Netanyahu ally turned rival, backed Eisenkot.
The political landscape shifts further as more parties engage with the President. Eight additional parties, including the two Arab-led factions, are scheduled to meet with Herzog on Thursday. Among them are Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Netanyahu’s Likud party, who are scheduled to go last. Eisenkot’s prospects improved significantly when Ra’am, a major Arab-led party, announced it would recommend him. This endorsement brought his expected support to 56 lawmakers, according to the Israeli news site Ynet. While this is still short of the 61-seat majority, it places Eisenkot in a stronger position than previously anticipated.
The other Arab-led party, the Joint List, has not officially announced its position. However, Israel’s Channel 12 reported that the party was expected to coordinate with Eisenkot. They may endorse him if asked or abstain if he prefers. With 11 seats, the Joint List could push Eisenkot past the 61-seat threshold, making him the viable candidate for forming a government. In contrast, Netanyahu’s 53-seat bloc may not yield 53 endorsements, weakening his position. Degel HaTorah, which holds four of United Torah Judaism’s seven seats, stated it would recommend neither candidate. This ultra-Orthodox faction broke with Netanyahu over his coalition’s failure to pass legislation exempting Haredi men from military service, according to The Times of Israel.
Herzog has urged both camps to compromise to avoid a new election. He stated that they must accept that “not every commitment and promise can be fulfilled.” In a message emphasizing unity, Herzog said, “In the current reality, in which there is no clear winner after the elections, I ask for originality and creativity, courage and goodwill, so that the State of Israel emerges the winner.” He also backed investigating the suspected interference but warned against smearing Palestinian-Israeli voters. Herzog expressed “great respect” for Israel’s Palestinian minority, which makes up about 20 percent of the population, and condemned the coarseness and racist expressions heard recently.
Once the consultations end, Herzog will choose the candidate he considers best placed to assemble a coalition. This candidate will almost certainly be either Netanyahu or Eisenkot. Herzog has several days to announce his decision. After the announcement, the nominee will have 28 days to form a government, with a possible 14-day extension. If neither man succeeds in forming a government within this timeframe, Israel would hold another election early next year. This deadline creates a tense environment where parties are under pressure to negotiate.
The potential for a coalition involving Eisenkot and Arab-led parties represents a historic shift. Ra’am’s support brings Eisenkot to 56 lawmakers, highlighting the growing influence of Arab-led parties in national governance. This development challenges the traditional dynamics of Israeli politics, where such alliances were rare. The rejection of Netanyahu’s coalition by Degel HaTorah further complicates his ability to form a government, as he loses key religious-nationalist support. Meanwhile, the Joint List’s potential coordination with Eisenkot could provide the final seats needed for a majority.
The election commission’s rejection of fraud claims and the Attorney General’s refusal to question elected officials without supporting evidence bolster the legitimacy of the current results. This official clarity is crucial for the stability of the process. Herzog’s role in facilitating talks and condemning racist rhetoric underscores the importance of maintaining civil discourse during this sensitive period. The outcome of these consultations will determine whether Netanyahu remains in power or if Eisenkot becomes the next Prime Minister. The coming days will be critical in shaping the future of Israel’s government.
The current consultations indicate a potential transition of power, with Eisenkot gaining momentum through Arab party support. If Eisenkot secures the necessary 61 seats, it would mark a significant change in Israeli political norms. Conversely, if Netanyahu fails to form a coalition, the resulting election would likely deepen political polarization. The stability of the next government depends on the willingness of fractured blocs to compromise, ensuring that the State of Israel remains resilient amid these historic changes.
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